The State of the Primary & Secondary Mortgage Market

There are several turbulences in the mortgage market due to the Covid-19 pandemic. The Mortgage Rate has fallen to almost 3% due to shutdown effects. The economy has experienced a record jump in unemployment and the financial impact of the pandemic is the damaging industry as well as consumers. Record-low mortgage rates and a whipsawing stock market are encouraging us to take a step towards improvement. The unprecedented shutdowns caused by COVID-19 intimidated to break multiple links in the mortgage chain. However, the impact can vary geographically. Some areas have systems and tools to work in this hard time, while others don’t.

Following Are the Metrics Shown for Each Report    

Unemployment Rate

Mortgage rates move higher on the jobs report. It is estimated that as many as 47 million people went through unemployment in the first period. But many have been called back since the economy reopening in May. And only 20 million remain unemployed. It is found that newly employed aren’t being let go due to mandate lockdown but more likely due to employer stress.

Total Non-Farm Employment

Total non-farm is commonly known as total nonfarm payroll. The US economy added 1.76 million jobs in July 2020, easing from a record 4.8 million in the previous month, as a resurgence in COVID-19 cases hit the labor market recovery. Still, the reading beat market expectations of a 1.6 million increase with employment in leisure, and the hospitality increased by 592 thousand and accounting for about one-third of the gain, and with government, employment has risen by 301 thousand. Naturally, public-sector education employment falls in July, but declines occurred earlier than usual this year due to the pandemic, resulting in unusually large increases in local government education (+215 thousand) and state government education (+30 thousand). The federal government employment reflected the hiring of 27,000 advance temporary workers for the 2020 Census. Increases were also seen in professional services, retail, and healthcare.

Increases were also seen in retail trade, professional and business services, other services, and health care. But Nonfarm employment stayed below their pre-pandemic-level.

Private Non-Farm Employment Figures

Non-farm payroll employment is a compiled name for goods, construction, and manufacturing companies in the United States. U.S. private nonfarm payrolls rose more-than-expected last month, official data showed on Friday.

Housing Stock (owned units, vacant units)

Due to Covid-19, priorities for most people have changed. Coronavirus outbreak has to lead to a complete lockdown of the economy and people are realizing the importance of which will increase the demand post-coviod-19 world. The pandemic has highlighted the need for shelter and protection in tough times. Real-state is a safer bet in the current market situation.

The State Mortgage Market is a report which combines a one-page report for all 50 states.  Each profile report is based on state as well as the national level.  

The financial crisis has a material effect on the pricing and structure of the economy. According to the mortgage bankers association, MBA raised its forecast for total annual originations to $2.61 trillion, or 20 percent more than in 2019. All this activity quickly filled lender pipelines to capacity. In mid-March 2020, bond markets locked up and mortgage rates fly. The following are its main reasons.

  • The secondary mortgage market (where home loans and servicing are bought and sold between lenders & investors) maxed out its ability to buy mortgage-backed securities.
  • Equity investors began to move their money to cash instead of bonds.
  • Lenders pick up new loans to slow down refi volume.

In late March 2020, the FED increased its purchase commitments and provides aid to commercial as well as municipal bond markets.

Market with High Risk

Lenders become unable to meet margin calls and absorb new originations and the consumers lost the ability to lock in at favorable rates.

There is a historic flee in unemployment and the risk is due to many factors. Servicers have been challenged with hiring employees. The state as well as federal is actively encouraging services to grant loans. Both these bodies are working together and collaborating to support market liquidity and financial outages.

Conclusion

The financial impact of COVID-19 is destructive to consumers & industry as well. Since the federal & state regulatory is continually taking action, the markets & consumers can be protected. Furthermore, you can expect valid economic opinions by consulting experts at Lawhorn Mortgage Company. They are proficient in dealing with such circumstances.


* Specific loan program availability and requirements may vary. Please get in touch with your mortgage advisor for more information.